The AUDUSD broke beneath the 100 hour MA for the primary time since March 16, and the break despatched the pair from 0.7491 to the session low at 0.7466.
That may was simply above the swing lows from Thursday’s commerce at 0.74656. There are actually 3 lows on the hourly chart at that stage over the past 3 buying and selling days. That’s adequate to extend the degrees significance within the brief time period.
The lack to maneuver beneath that swing low stage, despatched the pair again to the upside. The worth did prolong again above its 100 hour shifting common. Nevertheless after buying and selling above and beneath the shifting common over 4 consecutive hourly bars, the value appears to be dipping again to the draw back.
Hopes for a cease-fire within the Russian/Ukraine warfare helps to push commodities down and with it the AUDUSD. Gold is now down over $38. Crude oil is down over $10.75 now.
Having stated that, the value is just not working. What can be the targets on extra draw back?
On the draw back, transfer beneath the 0.74656 stage, and the sellers ought to have extra confidence to begin to assault the subsequent targets together with
- 0.74497 swing lows from Wednesday’s commerce final week and
- The rising 200 hour shifting common at 0.74327.
The worth has not traded beneath its 200 hour shifting common since March 17.
Conversely, a transfer again above the 100 hour shifting common at 0.74948 wouldn’t be what shorts searching for extra draw back wish to see once more.