The USDCAD moved to a brand new 2 month low (lowest stage since November 10) after breaking beneath the low from yesterday at 1.2485). Earlier than that, the worth broke beneath its 200 day transferring common at 1.24982. The run to the draw back took out the low from final week at 1.24525, however solely by about 4-5 pips. A brand new low got here in at 1.24476 in the present day.
The shortage of momentum on the break has led to sellers turning again to patrons within the North American session. The value has moved again as much as retest its 200 day transferring common 1.24982. Up to now there’s a stall towards that stage. The costs buying and selling between it and the lows from yesterday and earlier in the present day at 1.2485. The market merchants await for the subsequent shove. Does the 200 day transferring common maintain resistance and push again beneath 1.2485, or is the 200 day damaged together with the 100 hour transferring common 1.25115, and extra upside momentum seen?
Shifting above the 100 hour transferring common would subsequent goal a swing space between 1.25257 and 1.25354 adopted by the falling 200 hour transferring common 1.25567. The final time the worth traded above its 200 hour transferring common was again on January 6. Getting above it could give the patrons extra confidence particularly after the failed break.
Conversely, maintain beneath the 200 day transferring common and 100 hour transferring common, would maintain the sellers snug and potential for additional draw back momentum.