The USDCAD moved above the swing excessive from March 8 at 1.29001 at present and within the course of prolonged to a brand new excessive for 2022 and the very best stage since December 21, 2021 (see day by day chart above). The excessive value at present reached 1.2913, however has moved again under the 1.2900 stage right into a decrease swing space between 1.28709 and 1.29001 (see inexperienced numbered circles within the chart above). A transfer again under 1.28709 would spoil the consumers hopes for a run towards the upper excessive between 1.29483 and 1.29631 (see purple numbered circles within the chart above).
Drilling right down to the hourly chart under, the transfer at present moved above the swing excessive from final week at 1.2878 on its approach to the excessive value of 1.29131.
The next transfer again down has seen a value low of 1.2879 simply above the excessive from final week, and an earlier ceiling excessive from the London morning session at present (see inexperienced numbered circles within the chart under).
Holding that stage shall be a intraday barometer for consumers and sellers. Keep above is extra bullish. Transfer under and we may see additional draw back probing again towards a decrease swing space between 1.28467 and 1.2857 (see purple numbered circles within the chart under). A transfer under that stage, and merchants will begin the attention (take into consideration) focusing on the rising 100 hour transferring common at present at 1.28171.
Recall from final Friday, the worth of the USDCAD moved under that 100 hour transferring common (blue line) for the primary time since April 22. Nevertheless, momentum couldn’t be sustained, and the worth bounced again greater within the North American session. Transferring again above the 100 hour transferring common on Friday turned the sellers within the consumers with the worth closing the close to it is highs at 1.2855.
Right this moment extra bullish momentum is taken the worth even greater with merchants now watching the 1.2879 as shut assist.